Liam Draxl vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Draxl's recent second serve win rate stands at 43.43%, slightly behind Carreno-Busta's 43.51%. Is this a significant difference? Not enough to predict the outcome solely based on this stat.
• Return Game Stats: Draxl shows a slightly better performance on opponent's second serves, winning 47.57% compared to Carreno-Busta's 45.51%. However, on first serve returns, both players are almost identical with Draxl at 27.03% and Carreno-Busta at 26.92%.
• Handle Under Pressure: Carreno-Busta has a higher breakpoint save percentage (56.99%) compared to Draxl's (51.24%), possibly hinting at better resilience in tense situations.
• Overall Performance: In terms of overall match wins over the last year, Draxl has a higher win rate of 72.82% compared to Carreno-Busta's 56.14%.
• Favorable Surfaces: Draxl excels on indoor hard courts with a 69% win rate, whereas Carreno-Busta's best is on clay with 66%. Grass appears to be a weak point for both.
• Event Level and Opponent Quality: Both players compete predominantly in Challenger/ITF events, but Carreno-Busta faces tougher opponents on average, ranked at 161.65, compared to Draxl's opponents' average rank of 333.8.
• Deciding Set Performance: Draxl has a strong record in deciding sets, winning 80% in the past year, significantly higher than Carreno-Busta's 41%.
• Break Point Conversion: Carreno-Busta slightly edges Draxl in converting breakpoints, with rates of 30.72% and 30.17% respectively, showing comparable effectiveness in these opportunistic moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Draxl and Carreno-Busta presents an intriguing contest, with both athletes displaying certain advantages. Draxl's superior overall win percentage, particularly in deciding sets, suggests a mental toughness that could be pivotal in close contests.

While Carreno-Busta demonstrates strong breakpoint saving abilities and the capability of handling formidable opponents, his winning record over the past year falls short of Draxl's impressive statistics.

Despite Carreno-Busta's experience and high-quality match history, Draxl's consistent performance across multiple aspects, including his strong record in deciding sets and higher match win percentage, positions him as the likely winner in this encounter.